opinion claim
The interviewer argues that war games can provide information even when incorrect, and that repeated war games should reveal abstract recurring motifs.
Tim Scarfe · AI 2040: Plan A report - Daniel Kokotajlo & Thomas Larsen · 8 Sept 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“just to kind of dwell on this a little bit, because even if a war game is incorrect,”
“there must be some kind of information gained from it. So if you do a whole bunch of war games,”
“there must be abstract motifs that do appear.”Play from 12:07Report a misattribution
85%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
60%importance to the conversation
98%confidence the claim was read correctly