prediction claim
SPEAKER_02 predicts that classical liberalism will be difficult to maintain during severe arms races and times of crisis.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“I think our epistemic prediction is that it's hard to maintain classical liberalism as you go into these really difficult arms races in times of”
“times of crisis,”Play from 2:03:05Report a misattribution
80%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
85%importance to the conversation
92%confidence the claim was read correctly