prediction claim
AI systems become substantially more capable through the process of using AI copies to conduct software R&D and experiments.
Dwarkesh Patel · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“But through this process,”
“they are rapidly becoming much more capable.”Play from 47:52Report a misattribution
80%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
90%importance to the conversation
94%confidence the claim was read correctly