opinion claim
The speaker considers Dario's forecasts poorly calibrated and cites a 2018 expectation that something would happen by 2020.
Dwarkesh Patel · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“um but he's i mean i think he's like he in particular has not been that well calibrated um he's like oh like in 2018 he had like 2020”Play from 35:25Report a misattribution
80%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
55%importance to the conversation
78%confidence the claim was read correctly