Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 15 Oct 2026
descriptive claim

The authors' estimate of the uplift level at the time AI 2027 was published was higher than the actual level.

Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2040: Plan A report - Daniel Kokotajlo & Thomas Larsen · 8 Sept 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“Basically, at the time that we wrote AI 2027, we had a bad estimate of what the uplift was at the time that we published.”
“We thought it was higher than it actually was.”
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