descriptive claim
The authors' estimate of the uplift level at the time AI 2027 was published was higher than the actual level.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2040: Plan A report - Daniel Kokotajlo & Thomas Larsen · 8 Sep 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“Basically, at the time that we wrote AI 2027, we had a bad estimate of what the uplift was at the time that we published.”
“We thought it was higher than it actually was.”6:08Report a misattribution
0.95how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.65importance to the conversation
0.97confidence the claim was read correctly