descriptive claim
The speaker said their forecasting process involved reviewing models, trends, and calculations before making a judgment about the final number.
Unidentified speaker · Three Red Lines We're About to Cross Toward AGI (Daniel Kokotajlo, Gary Marcus, Dan Hendrycks) · 24 Jun 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“And then you should stare at all of that and then pull a number out of your ass based on all that stuff that you've just looked at, you know. And so that's what we did.”Play from 52:47Report a misattribution
90%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
65%importance to the conversation
94%confidence the claim was read correctly