opinion claim
The speaker says the current scenario gives little weight to AI systems using their knowledge advantage to make connections and may consequently underestimate the rate of progress.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“Our current scenario does not really take that into account very much. So that's an example in which our scenario is...”
“um under possibly underestimating the rate of progress right like yeah”Play from 22:44Report a misattribution
80%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
85%importance to the conversation
94%confidence the claim was read correctly