4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
opinion claim

The speaker says the current scenario gives little weight to AI systems using their knowledge advantage to make connections and may consequently underestimate the rate of progress.

Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“Our current scenario does not really take that into account very much. So that's an example in which our scenario is...”
“um under possibly underestimating the rate of progress right like yeah”
22:44Report a misattribution
0.80how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.85importance to the conversation
0.94confidence the claim was read correctly