descriptive claim

The speaker said the “benchmark and plus gaps” argument was among the main evidence and arguments informing their overall estimates.

Unidentified speaker · Three Red Lines We're About to Cross Toward AGI (Daniel Kokotajlo, Gary Marcus, Dan Hendrycks) · 24 Jun 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“And the main arguments and pieces of evidence that we found moving to inform our overall estimates were what we would call the benchmark and plus gaps argument.”

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90%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true

70%importance to the conversation

95%confidence the claim was read correctly