prediction claim
The speaker estimates a three-to-four-year timeline for AI to reach the level of capability being discussed.
John Schulman · AI researchers debate how close we are to recursive self-improvement · 11 Sept 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“I would say like three or four years.”Play from 1:34:43Report a misattribution
70%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
85%importance to the conversation
78%confidence the claim was read correctly