prediction claim
The speaker estimates a three-to-four-year timeline for AI to reach the level of capability being discussed.
John Schulman · AI researchers debate how close we are to recursive self-improvement · 11 Sep 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“I would say like three or four years.”1:34:43Report a misattribution
0.70how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.85importance to the conversation
0.78confidence the claim was read correctly