prediction claim
The speaker considers it unlikely that LLMs will play chess without illegal moves and without tool use within the next six months.
Tim Scarfe · Three Red Lines We're About to Cross Toward AGI (Daniel Kokotajlo, Gary Marcus, Dan Hendrycks) · 24 Jun 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“Without calling a tool, I don't think it would be possible in the next six months.”
“I'd be very surprised,”
“and you can ridicule me in six months if it happens, and that's fine.”Play from 1:32:28Report a misattribution
90%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
70%importance to the conversation
92%confidence the claim was read correctly