Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 20 Oct 2026
prediction claim

The forecast expects slightly improved coding in 2025, followed by slightly better AI agents and coding in 2026.

Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“So 2025,”
“slightly better coding,”
“2026, slightly better agents,”
“slightly better coding.”
Play from 7:33Report a misattribution
85%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
65%importance to the conversation
96%confidence the claim was read correctly