prediction claim
The speakers consider whether, within the next few years, AI systems could perform a broad range of human-substituting knowledge work, including AI research, as humans in the cloud.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2040: Plan A report - Daniel Kokotajlo & Thomas Larsen · 8 Sept 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“You know, is it possible that in the next few years we will have AIs that are like humans in the cloud and they can just do all sorts of knowledge work in a way that substitutes for humans,”
“including AI research,”
“for example?”Play from 1:23:41Report a misattribution
55%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
90%importance to the conversation
90%confidence the claim was read correctly