prediction claim
Machines will eventually exceed human performance, but when and how this will happen remain uncertain to the speaker.
Tim Scarfe · Three Red Lines We're About to Cross Toward AGI (Daniel Kokotajlo, Gary Marcus, Dan Hendrycks) · 24 Jun 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“whole research lines was showing that humans in fact were pretty bad at all kinds of reasoning so he says humans are a low bar we're doing this panel i said yeah and machines still haven't met them they will someday they will exceed them there's no question about that in my mind it's a question of when and how and so forth but we really are a low bar because of the all of the kind of cognitive biases and illusions the problems with memory my book kluge was all about this kind of stuff”Play from 2:01:45Report a misattribution
90%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
85%importance to the conversation
97%confidence the claim was read correctly