prediction claim
Both scenario branches lead to a race with China and a broad 2028 arms buildup as both sides rapidly industrialize.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
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“And then in both scenarios, there's then the race with China and there's this crazy arms buildup throughout the economy in 2028 as both sides, you know, rapidly try to industrialize basically.”1:25:42Report a misattribution
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