opinion claim
The speaker guesses that comparing compute scarcity to the Simon-Ehrlich bet is probably a bad analogy.
Dwarkesh Patel · Why smarter AI models could drive up compute prices 10x · 3 Aug 2026
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“I'm guessing that the analogy to this bet is probably wrong.”Play from 7:23Report a misattribution
45%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
75%importance to the conversation
95%confidence the claim was read correctly