4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
prediction claim

Ege Erdil thinks countries will vary in their outcomes from AI deployment, and that predicting this variation is easier than identifying which specific countries will do better.

Unresolved speaker · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“But like I would just like the generic prediction that you should expect variance and some countries do better than others.”
“I think that's much easier to predict than like the specific countries that end up doing better.”
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