prediction claim
The speaker is fairly confident that a base GPT-5 model, without routing, chain-of-thought, or similar additions, will not beat ARC-AGI 2.
Unresolved speaker · ⚡️ARC-AGI-3: The Interactive Reasoning Benchmark · 18 Jul 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“i'm not sure i'm very i'm more confident to say that if you have a base llm like a gpt5 if gpt5 is a base llm without all the routing and cot and all that crazy stuff uh it's not gonna it's i'm pretty confident it's not gonna be um arc2”28:07Report a misattribution
0.80how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.85importance to the conversation
0.90confidence the claim was read correctly