4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
descriptive claim

A categorical distribution can specify probabilities for every token in a discrete set.

Alexander Mattick · Why Scaling Prediction Cannot Create Intelligence - Alexander Mattick · 21 Sep 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“Right, you have all your tokens and you choose which one to actually get and a categorical distribution is more or less like it's the universal thing I can always just write down the probabilities of everything”
12:18Report a misattribution
0.90how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.60importance to the conversation
0.90confidence the claim was read correctly
A categorical distribution can specify probabilities for every token in a … · Savlar