opinion claim
Daniel Kokotajlo argues that choosing a no-change default is not a neutral position merely because uncertainty and out-of-model error are high.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
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“So I don't think there's a neutral position where you can just say, well,”
“given that out of model error is really high and we don't know anything,”
“let's just choose that.”28:35Report a misattribution
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