prediction claim
The speaker allows that AI might increase research output tenfold.
Dwarkesh Patel · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“you know, maybe causing 10xing of the research.”Play from 1:20:43Report a misattribution
45%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
65%importance to the conversation
85%confidence the claim was read correctly