opinion claim
The speaker considers Metaculus the closest available neutral aggregator of forecasts, rather than a cherry-picked collection.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“Rather than too optimistic and I think that's like the closest thing we have to a neutral aggregator where we're not cherry picking things”13:30Report a misattribution
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