opinion claim

The speaker considers Metaculus the closest available neutral aggregator of forecasts, rather than a cherry-picked collection.

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“Rather than too optimistic and I think that's like the closest thing we have to a neutral aggregator where we're not cherry picking things”

80%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true

65%importance to the conversation

95%confidence the claim was read correctly