prediction claim
The speaker estimates that AI researchers may achieve a 10x productivity uplift in about two years.
John Schulman · AI researchers debate how close we are to recursive self-improvement · 11 Sept 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“I would say like two years.”Play from 1:33:00Report a misattribution
65%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
85%importance to the conversation
82%confidence the claim was read correctly