descriptive claim
The speaker says that some people who were more optimistic than the speaker have already been proven wrong.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“I agree that there have been plenty of people who have been more bullish than me and have been already proven wrong.”Play from 12:58Report a misattribution
90%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
55%importance to the conversation
95%confidence the claim was read correctly