causal claim
The speaker suggests that a sudden addition of 10 million software engineers might lower the marginal value of software-engineering labor and thus reduce the revenue an H100 could generate below 15 times its current level.
Dwarkesh Patel · Why smarter AI models could drive up compute prices 10x · 3 Aug 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“Of course, you might expect that if we had 10 million extra software engineers suddenly appear in the economy,”
“the marginal value of a software engineer would decrease and thus the revenue that that H100 would be able to generate would not be 15x higher than it is right now.”Play from 4:32Report a misattribution
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85%importance to the conversation
95%confidence the claim was read correctly