Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 15 Oct 2026
definition claim

Conditional value at risk accounts for the probability of tail outcomes and weights them by their distance into the tail.

Alexander Mattick · Why Scaling Prediction Cannot Create Intelligence - Alexander Mattick · 21 Sept 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“then there are also solutions which do like conditional value at risk,”
“which is effectively you look at kind of the probability of being in a tail and kind of you weight this by kind of how far out on the tail you are.”
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