Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 20 Oct 2026
descriptive claim

The speaker says that five years earlier, people would not have expected AI capability to differ between tasks lasting one minute and tasks lasting two hours in terms of time horizon.

Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“Where did this come from? Like five years ago,”
“you would not have thought, oh, time horizon AIs will be able to do a bunch of things that last one minute, but not that last two hours.”
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