prediction claim
The speaker suspects that algorithmic progress may undergo a process similar to the one being discussed.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“think I'm imagining something maybe similar happening with algorithm progress.”Play from 38:27Report a misattribution
45%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
65%importance to the conversation
78%confidence the claim was read correctly