4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
descriptive claim

The speaker says next-token prediction could include predicting how Bill Gates would complete the next character.

Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“There is going to be something like predict how Bill Gates would complete this next character or something like that.”
48:04Report a misattribution
0.80how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.45importance to the conversation
0.91confidence the claim was read correctly