descriptive claim
The speaker says next-token prediction could include predicting how Bill Gates would complete the next character.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“There is going to be something like predict how Bill Gates would complete this next character or something like that.”Play from 48:04Report a misattribution
80%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
45%importance to the conversation
91%confidence the claim was read correctly