opinion claim
The speaker said the forecasting curves reflect subjective, highly uncertain opinions.
Unidentified speaker · Three Red Lines We're About to Cross Toward AGI (Daniel Kokotajlo, Gary Marcus, Dan Hendrycks) · 24 Jun 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“these curves represent our subjective judgment,”
“which is very uncertain.”
“It's just our opinions,”Play from 52:22Report a misattribution
95%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
70%importance to the conversation
98%confidence the claim was read correctly