4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
prediction claim

Ryan Greenblatt's tentative expectation is that AI will reach the milestone of outperforming humans at their jobs around 2033.

Ryan Greenblatt · Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research? · 11 Aug 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“2030 and then getting to like the like beats all humans on the job milestone. Maybe I expect meeting around 2033, but sort of like if I see AI is fully automating AR&D, I think I'm.”
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