prediction claim
Daniel Kokotajlo’s group does not expect the trend to continue to infinity; it expects the trend to encounter bottlenecks, as earlier processes did.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“We don't think it's going to shoot to infinity.”
“We think it's going to hit”
“know? Yeah, we think it's going to hit bottlenecks the same as all these previous processes.”Play from 31:53Report a misattribution
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