Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 20 Oct 2026
prediction claim

Robin Hanson reportedly bet that AI revenue would be below one billion dollars by 2025.

Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

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“Robin Hanson famously made a bet about less than a billion dollars of revenue, I think, by 2025.”
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