definition claim
A percentile-risk guarantee can require staying within 50% of a target with 99% probability.
Alexander Mattick · Why Scaling Prediction Cannot Create Intelligence - Alexander Mattick · 21 Sep 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“There are like percentile risks like with 99% probability you should be within like some, let's say 50% of some target, whatever.”
“Basically like a pack.”
“uh like guarantees.”1:43:42Report a misattribution
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