4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
prediction claim

The speaker likens scaling laws to an early, basic mathematical advance and expects progress in the 2030s to require work comparable to current frontier mathematics.

Dwarkesh Patel · Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research? · 11 Aug 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“like i feel like scaling laws will have been in like what math history descartes you know finding the cartesian grid and like very doing very basic mathematics wise and then eventually we want to keep making progress in the 2030s it's going to be like”
“do whatever bullshit is happening at the frontiers of mathematics right now.”
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