4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
opinion claim

Many historical examples, including recent AGI history, run counter to the idea that progress mainly depends on random fortuitous discoveries.

Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“So, yeah, like I think that there are tons of examples throughout history, including recent relevant AGI history of things in the other way.”
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Many historical examples, including recent AGI history, run counter to the idea … · Savlar