Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 15 Oct 2026
descriptive claim

Using the optimal-action approach creates a counterfactual inference problem comparing the actual trajectory with the hypothetical optimal trajectory.

Alexander Mattick · Why Scaling Prediction Cannot Create Intelligence - Alexander Mattick · 21 Sept 2026

In their words

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“The problem with this is now that you no longer actually have some form of effectively of a counterfactual inference problem where you need to deal with what actually happened versus what happened in our like let's say golden state where we walked along the kind of optimal path.”
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