prediction claim
The forecast models a progression from automated coding to automation of the full research process, initially using teams of agents at about human level.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“First,”
“you automate the coding,”
“then you automate the whole research process,”
“but in a very similar way to how humans do it with like, you know, teams of agents that are about human level.”Play from 25:56Report a misattribution
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94%confidence the claim was read correctly