prediction claim
The speaker predicts that two years before ASI is achieved, AI systems will have full solutions to all the cognitive problems he listed.
Tim Scarfe · Three Red Lines We're About to Cross Toward AGI (Daniel Kokotajlo, Gary Marcus, Dan Hendrycks) · 24 Jun 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“What would AI look like two years before we achieved AGI or ASI or something like that?”
“Certainly two years before we achieved ASI, we would have full solutions to all of those things.”Play from 1:00:28Report a misattribution
95%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
90%importance to the conversation
95%confidence the claim was read correctly