prediction claim
The speaker characterizes 2025 and 2026 in the forecast as having no especially notable developments and trends broadly similar to current ones.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“Another answer to the same question you asked is basically 2026.”
“six nothing super interesting or 25 nothing super interesting happen uh more or less similar trends to what we're seeing my”8:35Report a misattribution
0.75how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.60importance to the conversation
0.78confidence the claim was read correctly