Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 20 Oct 2026
prediction claim

The speaker suggests that a system using heuristics to search possible moves could eventually outperform humans at the task, though the speaker does not specify the task beyond the chess-engine analogy.

Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“have such good heuristics that probably most of the things that show up even in our conscious mind rather than happening on the level of some kind of unconscious processing are at least the kind of things that could be true like I think you could think of this as like a chess engine you have some unbelievable number of possible next moves you have some heuristics for picking out which of those are going to be the right ones and then gradually you kind of have the chess engine think about it”
“go through it, come up with a better or worse move,”
“then at some point you potentially become better than humans.”
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