causal claim
Progress is partly bottlenecked by the availability of larger populations, and population remains highly important today.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“population still matters a ton today.”
“Like in some sense, like progress is bottlenecked on having larger populations and so forth.”Play from 38:32Report a misattribution
85%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
65%importance to the conversation
94%confidence the claim was read correctly