AI models appear to be doubling approximately every seven months the duration of tasks they can perform, measured against how long those tasks take humans.

“Has been double AI's ability to do the kind of thing that it takes a human 10 minutes to do or an hour to do or four hours to do the length of time for corresponding human tasks. It seems like these models seem to be doubling their task length every seven months. So the idea being that by like 2030,”