prediction claim
One proposed approach is to keep Medicaid spending at approximately 20 percent of GDP.
Dwarkesh Patel · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“And you just say,”
“well,”
“Medicaid should continue to stay at a 20 percent of GDP or something.”Play from 2:21:20Report a misattribution
50%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
70%importance to the conversation
90%confidence the claim was read correctly