prediction claim
The speaker predicts that measures of AI-system weaknesses over the preceding five years would show improvement, with current systems less weak than systems from two years earlier, despite still having weaknesses.
Unidentified speaker · Three Red Lines We're About to Cross Toward AGI (Daniel Kokotajlo, Gary Marcus, Dan Hendrycks) · 24 Jun 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“So I would predict that if you measured this sort of thing for the last five years,”
“even though the current systems might still have weaknesses, they would be less weak than the systems of two years ago,”
“which are less weak.”Play from 1:18:32Report a misattribution
75%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
65%importance to the conversation
91%confidence the claim was read correctly