descriptive claim
The speaker clarifies that the fast-scenario estimate belongs to Daniel and is not the speaker's median estimate.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“It's not my, it's Daniel's estimate, it's not my median estimate.”Play from 1:23:15Report a misattribution
95%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
55%importance to the conversation
95%confidence the claim was read correctly