prediction claim
In the scenario, people could consult superintelligent AI about consequences for human flourishing, and it could identify a harmful course and recommend an alternative.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“You would think that people could just ask,”
“hey, super intelligent AI,”
“where does this lead?”
“Or what happens?”
“Or how is this going to affect human flourishing? And then it says,”
“oh, yeah, this is terrible for human flourishing. You should do this other thing instead.”Play from 2:18:21Report a misattribution
70%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
80%importance to the conversation
94%confidence the claim was read correctly