4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
descriptive claim

The speaker reports that the AI's average task horizon is one hour.

Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“on average, the AI's horizon is one hour.”
2:58:49Report a misattribution
0.80how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.55importance to the conversation
0.90confidence the claim was read correctly
The speaker reports that the AI's average task horizon is one hour. · Savlar