descriptive claim
The speaker reports that the AI's average task horizon is one hour.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
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“on average, the AI's horizon is one hour.”Play from 2:58:49Report a misattribution
80%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
55%importance to the conversation
90%confidence the claim was read correctly