causal claim
The team's estimate was that a superhuman AI researcher would accelerate algorithmic progress by about 25 times, because the entire research stack would be automated.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
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“And then something like a 25x speedup to algorithmic progress from the superhuman AI researcher,”
“because at that point, you've got the whole stack automated,”Play from 26:55Report a misattribution
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