prediction claim
The speaker says that AI successfully running two or three consecutive experiments without crashing would substantially increase their estimate of AI's uplift.
Beren Millidge · AI researchers debate how close we are to recursive self-improvement · 11 Sept 2026
In their words
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“and then if it can run like two or three experiments in a row without like crashing then like that is actually big update in like uplift”Play from 1:34:11Report a misattribution
80%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
75%importance to the conversation
92%confidence the claim was read correctly