4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
prediction claim

In the fictional scenario, AI companies' net approval ratings fall to approximately −40 to −50 around this point.

Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“open-rainer fictional companies net approval ratings getting down to like minus 40 minus 50 sometime around this point so i think they're also worried that if the president isn't completely on their side then they might get some laws targeting them or they may just need the president on their side to swat down other people who are trying to make laws targeting them and the way to get the president on their side is to really play up the national security”
1:43:49Report a misattribution
0.80how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.70importance to the conversation
0.90confidence the claim was read correctly